If the CDS spread on a AAA-rated sovereign bond (like France or South Korea) widens by 10 basis points for three consecutive days without a headline news event, that is a crack. The smart money is hedging against a black swan they cannot name.
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Today, there are 10,000 economic indicators. True cracks are buried under a mountain of irrelevant high-frequency data (weekly jobless claims, consumer sentiment, etc.). Macro experts succeed by ignoring 99% of the noise and focusing on three or four structural variables: real rates, credit spreads, and cross-currency basis swaps.
Macro experts suffer from:
Cracking the "Macro Expert" level is a journey of continuous learning. Start by opening the "Developer Tab" in your favorite software and looking at the code behind your recorded actions. Once you understand the why behind the how , you’ll find that there is no task too repetitive to be conquered.
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